Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000021 0.000023 0.000026 0.000030 0.000033 0.000038
2025-12-07 0.000015 0.000018 0.000022 0.000026 0.000033 0.000040 0.000052
2025-12-14 0.000013 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000046 0.000065
2025-12-21 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000052 0.000079
2025-12-28 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000038 0.000058 0.000097
2026-01-04 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026 0.000040 0.000064 0.000117
2026-01-11 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000041 0.000070 0.000137
2026-01-18 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000043 0.000078 0.000166
2026-01-25 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000045 0.000085 0.000198
2026-02-01 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027 0.000047 0.000095 0.000244
2026-02-08 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027 0.000049 0.000102 0.000289
2026-02-15 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000050 0.000110 0.000340
2026-02-22 0.000006 0.000010 0.000015 0.000027 0.000052 0.000121 0.000416
2026-03-01 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000054 0.000132 0.000508
2026-03-08 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000055 0.000141 0.000608
2026-03-15 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000026 0.000056 0.000151 0.000731
2026-03-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000058 0.000166 0.000924
2026-03-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000060 0.000181 0.001173
2026-04-05 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000026 0.000061 0.000192 0.001415
2026-04-12 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000026 0.000064 0.000214 0.001916
2026-04-19 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000026 0.000066 0.000232 0.002507
2026-04-26 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000069 0.000262 0.003644
2026-05-03 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000071 0.000283 0.004934